The Original Weather Blog: New York MTA Map of Subway Lines

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg

Saturday, 18 May 2013

Significant Severe Weather, Including Tornadoes, Likely Today thru Monday...

Posted on 07:51 by shohan bella


As feared for much of the past week, a string of significant severe weather days will get underway starting today in the Plains...





The latest severe weather outlook for today is shown below:










The highest risk of significant severe weather will take place where the green (scattered severe storms) and red (significant severe storms) merge from southwestern Nebraska into much of the Western one-half of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma.





Within this region, one or more strong and/or long track tornadoes are possible, along with very large hail in excess of 2 inches in diameter.  The significant hail threat will extend Southward into the red shaded region across northwest Texas and southwest Oklahoma as well.





The most significant severe risk for today includes the cities of North Platte, Goodland, Hays, Russell, Dodge City, Pratt, Great Bend and Woodward.





Thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and ahead of the dryline by late afternoon from western Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma.  Activity should be well underway by 7pm CDT, as depicted by this simulated radar image valid at that time via the high-resolution NAM computer model:










By that time, you can see that isolated development is also indicated over northwest Texas as well.  While one should not take the forecast radar positions as literal, it does give you a good idea as to the general areas where development is likely at a particular time.





The highest tornado potential will take place in association with any storm that is able to remain isolated and become well organized, mainly during the late afternoon through mid-evening hours.  Once the activity congeals into one or more larger clusters of storms by late evening, the tornado threat will decrease - but a pronounced large hail and damaging wind threat will continue.





Tomorrow, Sunday, continues to look particularly ominous.  This is mainly for two reasons:  (1).  the coverage and magnitude of potentially significant severe weather will increase and (2). the threat will shift Eastward into a more heavily populated region (as compared to today).





The outlook for tomorrow is shown below:










Once again, the highest risk of significant severe weather will exist within the red shaded area, including the cities of Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Wichita, Kansas City, Joplin, Omaha and Des Moines.





Strong to violent and/or long track tornadoes, very large hail and damaging winds will be a distinct possibility within this region on Sunday afternoon and evening.  This is a potentially dangerous and life threatening situation for the indicated areas, and folks living in the region or that have travel plans into the region should be on a high state of alert on Sunday afternoon and evening.





For Monday, a threat of significant severe weather will continue over the Sooner State, including the OKC and Tulsa areas once again:









If you live across the severe weather outlook areas for the next few days, please remain on a high state of alert and readiness.  Review your severe weather safety and preparedness tips ahead of time, and make sure that you've identified the best sheltering option at home, work, school, church or any other location that you may be.





I am particularly concerned with the high number of graduation ceremonies that are scheduled across the region both today and Sunday.  If you are in a large public arena or other venue, look for "Storm Shelter" or "Tornado Shelter" signs, like the ones shown below, as you enter the facility, that way you can move to a safe place quickly if severe weather threatens.  Additional sheltering tips are offered in my free Severe Weather Safety:  Seeking Shelter guide that you can download today.


















Also make sure that you have a way to receive severe weather warnings no matter where you are.  There are numerous options out there today, including apps or other links that you can load directly on your smartphone.  





For more information from 'The Original Weather Blog', including shorter, more frequent posts during rapidly changing weather events, please be sure to follow me on facebook and twitter:











 









Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to Facebook
Posted in Central U.S. Weather, Midwest Weather, Severe Weather Outlook, Southern Plains Weather, Weather In the News | No comments
Newer Post Older Post Home

0 comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • Tornado Strikes Sasolburg, South Africa; 1 Dead, Over 100 Injured...
    An apparent tornado struck Sasolburg, Free State in South Africa before dawn today (U.S. time).  According to media reports, an elderly woma...
  • A Week Full of Hail: Storms Pound New York State, Vermont, Oklahoma City and Wichita...
    Giant hailstones ravaged the country during the last week of May 2012. I'm not just talking about "the usual suspects" in the ...
  • The Tornado Chronicles: Kanopolis Lake and Salina, KS Area Tornadoes of 4-14-12...
    A single supercell thunderstorm produced at least 3 tornadoes across central Kansas during the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday, Apri...
  • Thunderstorms Forming Along Dryline in Kansas...
    Thunderstorms are beginning to develop along the dryline (the orange scalloped line on the above surface image) across west-central and sout...
  • Sandy's Fallout Continues: Gas Rationing, Hospital Shortage In NYC...
    By now you've probably heard the news, gas will be rationed in NYC and on Long Island effective 6am EST tomorrow.   If your license plat...
  • A Look at Storm Surge Flooding with the Northeastern System...
    As noted in my earlier post , the Nor'Easter is well underway and causing all sorts of problems across much of the same region already h...
  • Severe Derecho Struck the Midwest/Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic Yesterday...
    The above radar loop (courtesy of the College of DuPage Nexlab), shows the progression of a severe "derecho" from the Midwest to t...
  • Iowa: Ground Zero for Mammatus Yesterday Evening...
    A round of severe thunderstorms produced widespread hail across a large chunk of central and northern Iowa yesterday afternoon and evening. ...
  • Rare "High Risk" for Tornadoes/Severe Storms Midwest & OH Valley Today...
    A rarely issued (especially for November) "High Risk" of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms has been issued by the SPC for today i...
  • The Tornado Chronicles: Grove Hill, AL Tornado of December 25, 2012...
    Another long track tornado took place in association with the Christmas Day Tornado Outbreak of 2012 .  This one touched down near Grove Hil...

Categories

  • 2011 Drought
  • 2012 Drought
  • 2012 Fall and Winter Outlook
  • 2012 Tornado Chronicles
  • 2012 Transit of Venus
  • 2012 Tropical Weather - Atlantic
  • 2012 Tropical Weather - Pacific
  • 2012 Year In Review
  • 2012-2013 Drought
  • 2013 Tornado Chronicles
  • Arizona Wildfires
  • Astronomy
  • aviation weather
  • Billion Dollar Disasters
  • Blizzard of 2013
  • Blog Status
  • Book Reviews
  • Central U.S. Weather
  • Chicago Weather
  • Christmas 2012
  • Circuit of the Americas
  • Climatology
  • Computer Models
  • Deep South Weather
  • Derechos
  • DFW Weather
  • Drought
  • Earthquakes
  • Eclipse 2012
  • Eclipse 2017
  • El Nino
  • Event Summaries
  • Excessive Heat
  • Extreme Weather
  • Flooding
  • General Blog Info.
  • Gulf Coast Weather
  • Happy Easter
  • Happy New Year
  • Holiday Travel Weather
  • Holidays
  • Hurricane Carlotta
  • Hurricane Hugo
  • Hurricane Isaac
  • Hurricane Sandy
  • Illinois Weather
  • International Events
  • International Weather
  • Italy
  • Joplin Tornado
  • KY Weather
  • Lightning Safety
  • Long Range Outlook
  • Medium Range Outlook
  • Mid-Atlantic Weather
  • Midwest Weather
  • MS Valley Weather
  • National Weather Service
  • Northeast Weather
  • Northern Plains Weather
  • Ohio Valley Weather
  • Oklahoma Tornadoes
  • Oklahoma Wildfires
  • Perseid Meteor Shower
  • Radar
  • Rainfall Update
  • Record Events
  • Registered Members
  • Satellite Imagery
  • Seasons
  • Sev
  • Severe Local Storms
  • Severe Weather Outlook
  • Severe Weather Update
  • Severe Weather Update - TX
  • Severe Weather Update - TX OK KS
  • Severe Weather Outlook
  • Severe Weather Safety and Preparedness
  • Severe Weather Update
  • Sheltering eBook
  • Shelters
  • social media
  • Southeast U.S. Weather
  • Southern Plains Weather
  • Southern Snowfall
  • Space Weather
  • Storm Chasing
  • Tennessee Valley Weather
  • Texas Weather
  • Thanksgiving 2012
  • Tornado History
  • Tornado Outbreaks
  • Tornado Video
  • Tornado Videos
  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical Depression 2-E
  • Tropical Depression 4-E
  • Tropical Storm Alberto
  • Tropical Storm Beryl
  • Tropical Storm Bud
  • Tropical Storm Carlotta
  • Tropical Storm Debby
  • Tropical Storm Helene
  • Tropical Storm Isaac
  • Tropical Weather
  • Tropical Weather 2012 - Atlantic
  • Tropical Weather 2013
  • Tsunamis
  • Typhoon Sanba
  • weather disasters
  • Weather History
  • Weather Humor
  • Weather In the News
  • Weather Photography
  • Weather Prediction
  • Weather Records
  • Weather Technology
  • Weather Trivia
  • West Liberty
  • Western U.S. Weather
  • White Christmas 2012
  • Winter 2012-2013
  • Winter 2013-2014
  • Winter Weather 2012
  • Winter Weather 2013-2014

Blog Archive

  • ▼  2013 (158)
    • ►  December (1)
    • ►  November (3)
    • ►  October (2)
    • ►  September (8)
    • ►  August (4)
    • ►  July (10)
    • ►  June (7)
    • ▼  May (20)
      • Significant Hail and Tornado Threat Again Today in...
      • Significant - But Not Widespread - Severe Weather ...
      • Several Significant Severe Weather Events Likely T...
      • Keep an Eye to the Sky This Week for Severe Weathe...
      • The Tornado Chronicles: Moore, OK Tornado of 5-20...
      • America Isn't the Only Place with Tornado Troubles...
      • Severe Weather Threat Shifts Southward Into Texas ...
      • Tornado Watches In Effect Until 10pm...
      • Significant Severe Weather Likely Again Today - In...
      • Severe Weather About to Get Underway in the Plains...
      • The Tornado Chronicles: Rozel, KS Tornado of 5-18...
      • Significant Severe Weather Threat Continues Today ...
      • Severe Weather Update for Kansas/Oklahoma/Texas fo...
      • Significant Severe Weather, Including Tornadoes, L...
      • The Tornado Chronicles: Granbury and Cleburne TX ...
      • First Significant/Widespread Tornado Threat of Sea...
      • Severe Weather Back on the Table for This Weekend...
      • Large Hail, Some Significant, Likely Today thru Fr...
      • Large Tornado in Emilia Romagna Italy Today...
      • Major Storm System Brings Winter and Spring Weathe...
    • ►  April (20)
    • ►  March (20)
    • ►  February (29)
    • ►  January (34)
  • ►  2012 (342)
    • ►  December (48)
    • ►  November (37)
    • ►  October (46)
    • ►  September (21)
    • ►  August (33)
    • ►  July (16)
    • ►  June (36)
    • ►  May (50)
    • ►  April (55)
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

shohan bella
View my complete profile